Why were interest rates so low even before the pandemic?

The financial crisis of 2007-08 it was caused in part by an excess of savings over investment in the global economy. The acute effect of this was an unravelling of the financial system in 2008 and although that acute stage has passed, the chronic issue remains. That is, the natural real rate of interest in … Continue reading Why were interest rates so low even before the pandemic?

Funds can be classified in different ways

A helpful classification of active funds is by outcome or intended outcome. For example: capital growth, income, capital preservation, and liability-matching. The means by which the objectives outcomes are met might be of lower importance, but generally capital growth funds are likely to be all-equity or dominated by equities, income funds are likely to have … Continue reading Funds can be classified in different ways

Tax evasion has always been illegal, but beware that tax avoidance might be too

Tax avoidance is the process of reducing the amount of tax paid, or increasing the efficiency of a client’s tax profile, through legal means. Tax evasion is reducing the amount of tax paid through illegal means. However, regulation is moving in the direction of encouraging tax compliance in the ‘spirit’ of the law as opposed … Continue reading Tax evasion has always been illegal, but beware that tax avoidance might be too

What does the ‘fundamental value’ of a stock mean?

Fundamental value for a stock is typically defined in terms of its power to generate cash flows. If we discount a company’s cash flows from the future to today at an appropriate discount rate (which should reflect the risk inherent in investing in stocks with similar characteristics to our company) then we can calculate an … Continue reading What does the ‘fundamental value’ of a stock mean?

Beware false precision about the distinction between growth and value

Growth investing is based on the premise that some companies are predicted to grow their earnings substantially in the future, so investors are willing to pay more now for that future stream of earnings. This contrasts with value investing where investors typically try to identify stocks with a share price that is cheap relative to … Continue reading Beware false precision about the distinction between growth and value

Why was 2018 a difficult year for investors?

2018 was a difficult year for active managers. Equity market performance was concentrated in the US, and even within the US it was concentrated in the technology sector, and even within that it was concentrated in a small number of mega-cap tech stocks known as the ‘FAANGs’ (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google, although Microsoft and … Continue reading Why was 2018 a difficult year for investors?